Passenger vehicle sales poised to rebound

Growth in China’s passenger vehicle sales is expected to re-enter the expansion territory after a larger decline in 2019 thanks to a more stable market and favorable policies, according to an industrial association report.

The retail sales of passenger vehicles went down 7.4 percent year on year in 2019, compared with a 3 percent drop in 2018, to some 20.69 million units, according to the China Passenger Car Association.

Although month-on-month growth in December reached 11.1 percent, the reading is still among the lowest in history, the CPCA said.

However, the association predicts a 1 percent annual growth for sales to reach 21 million units in 2020, in light of signs of recovery as manufacturers gear up production and the wholesale sector sees faster growth.

In December, the output of passenger cars reached 2.1 million, up 3.5 percent year on year and a consecutive growth from November. Inventory was reduced by 250,000 units in 2019, compared with 150,000 in 2018.

“The foundation for positive growth in China’s auto market is solid,” the association said in an analysis released on its website.

After 18 years of growth in the fast lane, the Chinese car market has accumulated a large population of vehicle owners. Faster upgrades in products and technology and growing appetite for car replacements provide favorable conditions for healthy sales growth, the CPCA said.

The association predicted sales of 21 million units for this year — a replacement of 13.6 million cars and 6.4 million first-time purchases given an average car service life of eight years. If the service life is put at 10 years, the number of new buyers would reach 10 million.