Profit growth of listed companies will slow to 5 percent in H2

Huang Yixuan
China's stock market likely to turn attention to macro level  such as reform of state-owned enterprises, supply-side reform and environmental protection
Huang Yixuan

Chinese listed companies are expected to see earnings growth slow from 18 percent in the first half of the year to 5 percent in the second six months, and the Chinese stock market will turn its attention to the macro level, UBS Securities said.

Both the macro-economic growth and the profit growth of public companies will slow from the high base in the first half of last year, including investments in properties and capital construction  according to Gao Ting, chief strategy analyst of UBS Securities China.

The semi-annual reports of public companies showed that net profits grew 18 percent.

In the second half of this year, however, the growth will slow year on year, owing to the strong base number of last year and slowing investments. The strengthening of government's financial regulations and risk management will restrain market liquidity and credit growth to some extent, UBS said.

"In the next several months, China's market is expected to turn its interest to the macro level such as the reform of state-owned enterprises, the supply-side reform and environmental protection," Gao said.

The reform of SOEs, including de-leveraging and debt-for-equity swap, is a key strategy to strengthen them, according to the brokerage. This can lead to investors paying increasing attention and interest to such SOEs.


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